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2019 business card at risk: how safe is the world?

Opposite the Maldivian island of Girifushi, a German tourist was hit by a bullet during a boat trip. A rebound of a military exercise has injured the 41-year-old fortunately not life-threatening. In Greece, two vacationers died when their camper was launched in a hurricane on the beach of Sozopoli. And in Kenya, a twin engine tourist plane collided with two wildebeest landings – the detainees were terrified.

All the accidents of the last few weeks, far from home, which may be unusual but do happen. What is the risk of being injured while traveling on the road, in the event of natural disasters or political unrest or contracting the Ebola? And what does medical care look like then?

These are problems affecting security service providers like Control Risks and International SOS. With them, companies protect their employees – with consultations, monitoring and emergency evacuations.

"In 2019, the world has not become more insecure or safer," said Martin Bauer, head of regional security for the two companies, who released the new version of the "Travel Risk Map" on Monday. Intense red and with extremely high security risks countries like Yemen, Syria or Libya are marked on it. The risk is high in Venezuela and in some parts of India, average in Brazil and South Africa, low in Morocco and Germany and insignificant in Slovenia or Denmark. (Click here for the interactive world map.)

14 The changes in the Travel Risk Map assessment would have been the same as in the previous year, Bauer told Good king News:

  • Nine upgrades in Africa alone: ​​regions or cities Libya. Congo. Mozambique. Burkina Faso and even the border areas are now considered more risky Honduras is belize in Central America.
  • Nicaragua and parts Mexico have been downgraded against it. "In Guanajuato, for example, the Mexican government has clearly opposed the drug mafia," says Bauer. "However, there are still corners in Mexico, where gangs are heavily represented and militia protests against gangs are spreading rapidly."

2019 will have protests in Hong Kong For many business customer requests, says Bauer. In the city the financial industry is found in many countries, as a result many foreigners live there.

Even the tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran has remained in sight: will there be a great conflict? Are there any further attacks on oil plants? The situation "gives us a lot of work because there are many business travelers," says Bauer. Equally numerous natural disasters such as hurricanes, fires and floods from the United States to Europe to India.

What is coming to 2020?

By 2020, experts predict that the trend will increase natural disastersHowever, hazardous areas are difficult to predict. politically safety manager Martin Bauer expects these imponderables:

  • Choice in the United States: "The question of whether Donald Trump remains president or not can have implications not only for the United States – through protests – but also throughout the world." The focus is on relations with the Middle East, North Korea and China.
  • Danger for Islamist groups: "Not only in the Middle East, but also in the south and south-east Asia, parts of the Sahel in Africa and still in Europe." Although Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, leader of the Islamic State, was killed by US special forces, the terrorist militia remains another threat, including al Qaeda, and we are also following the current conflict between the "Islamic jihad "Palestinian and Israel".
  • Bolivia: "Even if the former president Evo Morales resigned and is in exile in Mexico, social unrest could lead to further protests in much of South America, similar to the Arab spring."
  • Europe: International SOS "is following political developments, in particular those related to social unrest, for example due to climate protests, but also caused by identity movements in various European countries".
  • Russia: "In recent years, the country has become much more popular on the world stage, with Russia more represented in northern Syria, where the United States has withdrawn, and trying to continue to operate in parts of the Middle East and in some parts of Africa does not only affect the politics of the countries, but it could also be useful for the travelers who fly to Russia partly with Russian airlines "Bauer remembers the Islamist attack on a Russian Airbus plane that came back with travelers from Egypt.

Medical risks: heart attack more dangerous than terror

Although terrorist attacks such as those on the Sinai attract much attention, but the risk of being hit is low. Contrary to the dangers that travelers have with them: "If we look at our statistics, they are above all the so-called affluent diseases Stroke, heart attacks, thrombosisthat makes us evacuate patients ", says Stefan Eßer, head of Central Europe at International SOS, as well as accidents on the road, at work and during leisure time.

"Patients don't have heart attacks because they travel, but statistically while traveling," he says. "The only difference is that if you are unlucky enough to have a heart attack, you are in better hands in Frankfurt than in Ouagadougou, where supplies are disastrous."

On the map of travel risks, factors such as health and rescue systems, the availability of medicines as well as the distribution of health risks play a role in assessing medical risks infectious diseases how malaria and cholera play a role.

  • For example, this is very high malariaRisk in West Africa, says Esser, who is always surprised how many people would need to work in Senegal, Congo or Mali. Often, however, prophylaxis is not performed, patients should therefore be expelled.
  • Ebola it would have broken out again and again in the Democratic Republic of the Congo – however, fewer travelers have been affected.
  • Overall, the experts see a spread of dengue fever, And also the Zika virus – However, it is not yet confirmed whether the infections actually occur more frequently or if only the attention is greater, says Eßer.

Significant improvements in health care systems in recent years see the doctor, for example, in the Turkey. Tunisia is Morocco, Also in algeria – previously classified as a high medical risk – there are good private facilities, at least in northern cities. "In the Eastern European countries like it Bulgaria is Romania We see a slow but steady increase over the last 10, 15 years, "says Eßer.

Although there are also moderately or poorly served regions in Romania. But Eßer is impressed by a rescue system in the capital Bucharest. "Ambulances, for example, send ECGs via telemedicine to university hospitals, so the chief emergency physician knows what heart problems will come to the clinic in the next 20 minutes and can organize the rescue and staff accordingly." This is also rare in Germany.

The Travel Risk Map offers not only professional travelers and their employers, but also vacationers. However, some of these are sometimes exposed to greater risks because they travel throughout the country and travel to less sheltered areas. Respectively, there are some countries in the world, where you probably travel alone, if you have to work there. The assessment by the German Foreign Ministry therefore differs from some countries.